Quarterly, annual and bespoke reports on the Welsh economy
- Tracking the supply of, and demand for, finance across Wales
- Improving the understanding of SMEs and their role within the Welsh economy
- Creating innovative ways of measuring, interpreting and tracking SME data
- Identifying and addressing Welsh SME finance data gaps
- Improving the understanding of the Development Bank of Wales’ wider economic impact
Economic Intelligence Wales is a unique collaboration between the Development Bank of Wales, Cardiff Business School and the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
Cardiff Business School leads on producing the research outputs utilising data from the ONS, StatsWales, the Development Bank of Wales and other data sources. Representatives from the three organisations form the Economic Intelligence Wales Steering Group which reviews and approves research outputs for publication.
"I see Economic Intelligence Wales as a strategic national asset and a key mechanism that can help shape future policy development within the arena of access to finance."
Our latest report
Quarterly Report, February 2020
This is the second EIW quarterly report (QR) for the 2019/20 financial year. The new decade sees some reduction in economic and political uncertainty as a result of the General Election outcome. With Brexit firmly established in the UK government’s political agenda, understanding how the Welsh economy and its SMEs are affected by this, and other factors, remains crucial.
Some of the notable findings identified in the Quarterly Report include:
- The Small Firm Business Index for Wales shows that business confidence fell by 33.8. Business confidence declined from 18.3 in 2019Q2 to -15.5 in 2019Q3.
- Revisions to Welsh micro business data show a decline in turnover of 0.4% in 2018, compared to the provisional data which showed a 20% decline.
- Wales recorded the highest birth rate in 2018 across the UK countries for a second consecutive year, at 13.3% of active businesses, with the UK birth rate at 12.9%.
- The proportion of Welsh SMEs using any type of external finance was 48%, which is higher than the UK average (42%).
- The proportion of Welsh SMEs estimated to be at High credit risk declined between August and December 2019 from 6.7% to 4.1%, while the number of SMEs classified as Secure increased from 2.9% to 5.5% over the same period.
Download the report by clicking on the link below.
Quarterly and annual reports on SME finance in Wales
This is the second EIW quarterly report (QR) for the 2019/20 financial year. QR2 builds on and expands the baseline picture of Welsh SME activity established in the QRs of the previous financial year. The new decade sees some reduction in economic and political uncertainty as a result of the General Election outcome. The report finds that Welsh SME confidence is no longer a positive outlier for the UK and has dropped significantly.
A summary infographic for the February 2020 quarterly report can be accessed below.
This is the first EIW quarterly report (QR) for the 2019/20 financial year. QR1 builds on and expands the baseline picture of Welsh SME activity established in the QRs of the previous financial year. In this period of heightened uncertainty, understanding how the Welsh economy and its SMEs are uniquely affected is increasingly important. The report finds that small firms in Wales remain confident despite turnover for SMEs having dropped by 2.4% between 2013 and 2018.
A summary infographic for the October 2019 quarterly report can be accessed below.
This is the first Economic Intelligence Wales Annual Report. This report develops and expands the baseline picture of Welsh SME activity established in the first three quarterly reports of 2018/19. It finds that over the last year, indicators of economic health are presenting conflicting messages. Despite a sharp 20% decline of micro business turnover in Wales captured in EIW QR3 and the recent increase in High risk credit ratings, Welsh SME confidence levels and the proportion of SMEs making use of external finance remain higher than the UK averages.
A summary infographic for the August 2019 annual report can be accessed below.
Third in the 2018/19 series of quarterly reports produced by Cardiff Business School for Economic Intelligence Wales. QR3 builds on and expands the baseline picture of Welsh SME activity established in QR1 (June 2018) and QR2 (November 2018).
This is the second in a quarterly series of Economic Intelligence Wales (EIW) reports by Cardiff Business School examining key SME trends in the Welsh economy, particularly in respect to the demand and supply for finance provision.
This is the first in a quarterly series of Economic Intelligence Wales (EIW) reports by Cardiff Business School examining key SME trends in the Welsh economy, particularly in respect to the demand and supply for finance provision.
A summary infographic for the June 2018 quarterly report can be accessed below.
This report examines business structure in Wales and the role of medium-sized firms in particular. This focus was motivated by previous studies that have suggested that there might be a ‘missing middle’ in Wales. The report focuses on the importance of medium-sized firms in the Welsh economy compared to other economies. It also identifies issues with SME dynamism in Wales.
A summary infographic for the Medium-sized firms and Welsh business structure 2019 report can be accessed below.
The report examines SME access to equity finance in Wales, and the extent to which Cardiff is a developing equity cluster, in order to potentially develop more clusters across Wales. The bespoke report considers the definition of equity clusters, and combines a review of data with consultations with leaders in financial services. The report reveals a number of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats for the growth of SME equity finance in Wales.
A summary infographic for the Equity Clusters in Wales 2019 report can be accessed below.
This report is focused on Welsh supply and demand for export finance amongst small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The report examines the role of export finance for SMEs, and includes the findings from an Export Finance Survey of over 500 Welsh SMEs undertaken in November/December 2018, exploring SME export activity, intentions, finance needs and exporting constraints.
A summary infographic for the February 2019 quarterly report can be accessed below.
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